This article provides 2023 NFL selections, Week 16 predictions from a proven model, including Cowboys vs. Dolphins odds, line, spread, and start time.

The Miami Dolphins (10-4) will visit the Dallas Cowboys (10-4) in a key Week 16 NFL cross-conference battle. Both clubs want the crown but haven't fared well against other elite teams in previous years. Both teams can get a crucial, confidence-boosting win before the NFL playoffs.

Hard Rock Stadium will host Sunday's 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff. The Dolphins are favored by 1 point against the Cowboys, and SportsLine consensus predicts 48.5 points. Before betting on Cowboys vs. Dolphins, check SportsLine's NFL model.

Since its launch, the model has earned over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL choices after simulating every NFL game 10,000 times. Starting in 2017, the model has gone 178-129 on top-rated NFL choices into Week 16 of the 2023 season. Since Week 7 last season, their top-rated NFL choices are 32-21.

Four times in the last six years, the model placed in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for straight-up NFL choices and defeated more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players. Anyone who followed it is up.

Miami has won four of its previous five games, losing against the Tennessee Titans at home on Monday Night Football in Week 14 for no reason. Last week, the Dolphins defeated the Jets 30-0, their eighth win by at least 14 points this season. Now Mike McDaniel wants to disprove the idea that Miami can't beat good teams.

Through 14 games, his offense leads the NFL in points (441) and total yardage (5,797), while his defense is 14th in points allowed (291) and eighth in yards allowed (4,108). Now they'll face a Cowboys defense that gave up 35 points to the Seahawks three weeks ago and 31 to the Bills last week. Choose a team here.

Dallas has won six of the past seven encounters and covered five times. Before losing in Buffalo, the Cowboys had won five straight, beating Philadelphia and Seattle. Their tiebreaker advantage against the Eagles means they cannot afford a defeat on Sunday.

Dak Prescott has been an MVP candidate all season, throwing for 3,639 yards, 28 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Tony Pollard has ran for 848 yards and five touchdowns, while CeeDee Lamb has 103 receptions for 1,306 yards and eight touchdowns. In six of nine games, the Cowboys have covered the spread.  

The model simulated Cowboys vs. Dolphins 10,000 times and found results. The model favors Under and generates a point-spread pick that hits in over 50% of simulations.

Continue to monitor this space for any new updates.